Pressure and stress relating to aging family members. Putting your own life on hold because someone you love needs you.
This is happening right now across the Lower North Island and the real wave of demand – expected to peak in 15 years’ time - hasn't even hit yet.
That should worry all of us. Because the numbers tell us the next 15 years will be harder, not easier, unless government acts now.
None of this is anyone's fault. It's what happens when a system leans harder and harder on unpaid family care without building enough support behind it.
Stats NZ figures show New Zealand's 65+ population is heading from around 900,000 today to about 1.5 million by the early 2050s, and most of those people already live in our communities. In Kenepuru, the 85+ population (the group most likely to need dementia or hospital-level care) is set to roughly double or triple by 2053, with much of that growth landing within 15 years. In places like Horowhenua, where nearly a quarter of residents are already 65+, this isn't a future problem - it's already here.
New facilities and trained staff take 5 to 10 years to plan and build. So, decisions made now are what decide whether care exists when families actually need it.
Most older people want to stay home as long as possible, and that's a good thing. But once needs shift to advanced dementia, high falls risk, palliative care or serious recovery needs, families genuinely can't do it alone. Without local respite or residential options, care doesn't stop being needed - it just falls back on exhausted families or turns into an avoidable hospital visit.
Families aren't asking to be relieved of caring, most want to keep doing it for as long as they safely can. What they need is a system that has their back: respite when they need a break, and confidence that decent care will exist nearby when home isn't enough anymore.
This election, we're asking local MP candidates across the Lower North Island to commit to funding, workforce and infrastructure decisions that match the scale and timing of demand that is already locked in - so that families aren't left to carry a system-wide gap alone.
If you're a family carer, or you've navigated aged care for someone you love, your experience matters in this conversation.
For more information visit: https://aca.org.nz/
ACA is an advocate for making sure the aged care sector gets the support it needs to provide excellent care for older New Zealanders.